SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Doncaster Rovers | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 11 | Harrogate Town | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 12 | Gillingham | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 22 | Rochdale | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 23 | Tranmere Rovers | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 24 | Crawley Town | 2 | -2 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 39.9%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 33.93% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.57%) and 0-2 (6.86%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 1-0 (9.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Harrogate Town | Draw | Crawley Town |
33.93% ( -5.36) | 26.17% ( 0.27) | 39.9% ( 5.09) |
| Both teams to score 53.34% ( -1.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.83% ( -1.28) | 51.17% ( 1.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.99% ( -1.14) | 73.01% ( 1.14) |
| Harrogate Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.34% ( -3.7) | 28.66% ( 3.71) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.52% ( -4.88) | 64.48% ( 4.88) |
| Crawley Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.78% ( 2.28) | 25.22% ( -2.28) |
