Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 42.84%. A win for Leyton Orient had a probability of 29.56% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (8.18%). The likeliest Leyton Orient win was 0-1 (9.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
