Newport County 1-2 Crawley Town - League Two - April 15, 2022 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings - Football

Crawley may have won three of their last four matches, but all of those wins took place on home turf and with Newport determined to keep hold of their playoff spot, we think that the hosts will edge out the Reds on Friday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 54.76%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Crawley Town had a probability of 22.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.84%) and 2-0 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.92%), while for a Crawley Town win it was 0-1 (6.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result
Newport County	Draw	Crawley Town
54.76%	23.11%	22.13%

Both teams to score 54.51%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.44%

45.56%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.11%

67.89%

Newport County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.48%

16.53%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.73%

46.27%

Crawley Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.29%

34.71%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.57%

71.44%

Score Analysis

Newport County 54.75%

Crawley Town 22.13%

Draw 23.1%

Newport County	Draw	Crawley Town
1-0 @ 10.32% 2-1 @ 9.84% 2-0 @ 9.3% 3-1 @ 5.9% 3-0 @ 5.58% 3-2 @ 3.12% 4-1 @ 2.66% 4-0 @ 2.51% 4-2 @ 1.41% 5-1 @ 0.96% 5-0 @ 0.9% Other @ 2.27% Total : 54.75%	1-1 @ 10.92% 0-0 @ 5.74% 2-2 @ 5.2% 3-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 0.14% Total : 23.1%	0-1 @ 6.07% 1-2 @ 5.78% 0-2 @ 3.21% 1-3 @ 2.04% 2-3 @ 1.84% 0-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.06% Total : 22.13%

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	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
1	Leyton Orient	24	16	5	3	35	13	22	53
2	Stevenage	24	15	6	3	35	17	18	51
3	Northampton Town Northampton	24	13	7	4	39	24	15	46
4	Carlisle United Carlisle	24	10	9	5	37	25	12	39
5	Bradford City Bradford	23	11	6	6	30	23	7	39
6	Swindon Town Swindon	25	10	8	7	28	25	3	38
7	Mansfield Town Mansfield	24	11	5	8	33	31	2	38
8	Doncaster Rovers Doncaster	24	11	4	9	30	34	-4	37
9	Walsall	23	10	6	7	29	21	8	36
10	Barrow Barrow	24	11	3	10	29	28	1	36
11	Salford City	23	10	5	8	30	23	7	35
12	Sutton United Sutton	25	10	5	10	25	31	-6	35
13	Stockport County Stockport	23	10	4	9	33	23	10	34
14	AFC Wimbledon	24	9	7	8	29	28	1	34
15	Tranmere Rovers Tranmere	24	9	6	9	25	20	5	33
16	Grimsby Town	23	8	6	9	26	27	-1	30
17	Crewe Alexandra Crewe	22	7	7	8	19	27	-8	28
18	Newport County Newport	24	6	7	11	23	27	-4	25
19	Harrogate Town Harrogate	23	6	5	12	30	36	-6	23
20	Crawley Town Crawley	24	5	7	12	26	39	-13	22
21	Colchester United Colchester	24	5	5	14	21	31	-10	20
22	Hartlepool United Hartlepool	24	4	7	13	24	45	-21	19
23	Rochdale	23	4	4	15	18	35	-17	16
24	Gillingham	23	2	8	13	7	28	-21	14

Form, Standings, Stats

Newport County

Crawley Town

We said: Newport County 2-1 Crawley Town

Data Analysis

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