Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 45.98%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 27.16% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (8.79%). The likeliest Newport County win was 0-1 (9.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.
