Carlisle United 0-2 Sutton United - League Two - January 29, 2022 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings - Football

Sutton should be able to carry on their forward momentum by collecting another three points on Saturday, taking advantage of any lost confidence for Carlisle due to their heavy defeat last weekend. The hosts have not been very prolific in front of goal this season and that will play into the hands of Sutton, who will be looking to keep a clean sheet for a third straight game in all competitions. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 36.83%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 34.27% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.61%) and 0-2 (7%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 1-0 (11.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Sutton United in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Sutton United.

Result
Carlisle United	Draw	Sutton United
34.27%	28.9%	36.83%

Both teams to score 45.1%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.47%

61.53%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.61%

81.39%

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.32%

33.68%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.66%

70.34%

Sutton United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68%

32%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.54%

68.46%

Score Analysis

Carlisle United 34.26%

Sutton United 36.83%

Draw 28.89%

Carlisle United	Draw	Sutton United
1-0 @ 11.72% 2-1 @ 7.27% 2-0 @ 6.38% 3-1 @ 2.64% 3-0 @ 2.32% 3-2 @ 1.5% Other @ 2.43% Total : 34.26%	1-1 @ 13.36% 0-0 @ 10.77% 2-2 @ 4.14% Other @ 0.62% Total : 28.89%	0-1 @ 12.28% 1-2 @ 7.61% 0-2 @ 7% 1-3 @ 2.89% 0-3 @ 2.66% 2-3 @ 1.57% Other @ 2.82% Total : 36.83%

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League Two Table

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Leyton Orient	45	26	12	7	60	33	27	90
P	Stevenage	45	23	13	9	60	39	21	82
3	Northampton Town Northampton	45	22	14	9	61	42	19	80
4	Stockport County Stockport	45	22	12	11	64	36	28	78
5	Carlisle United Carlisle	45	20	15	10	65	42	23	75
6	Salford City	45	22	9	14	72	53	19	75
7	Bradford City Bradford	45	20	15	10	60	42	18	75
8	Mansfield Town Mansfield	45	20	12	13	70	55	15	72
9	Barrow Barrow	45	18	8	19	47	52	-5	62
10	Swindon Town Swindon	45	15	13	17	59	54	5	58
11	Tranmere Rovers Tranmere	45	15	13	17	45	47	-2	58
12	Grimsby Town	45	15	13	17	48	56	-8	58
13	Crewe Alexandra Crewe	45	14	15	16	46	58	-12	57
14	Sutton United Sutton	45	15	12	18	45	57	-12	57
15	Newport County Newport	45	14	14	17	51	54	-3	56
16	Doncaster Rovers Doncaster	45	16	7	22	45	63	-18	55
17	Walsall	45	11	19	15	44	48	-4	52
18	Gillingham	45	13	13	19	35	49	-14	52
19	Harrogate Town Harrogate	45	12	15	18	58	67	-9	51
20	Colchester United Colchester	45	12	13	20	44	49	-5	49
21	AFC Wimbledon	45	11	15	19	48	59	-11	48
22	Crawley Town Crawley	45	11	13	21	47	69	-22	46
R	Hartlepool United Hartlepool	45	9	15	21	51	77	-26	42
R	Rochdale	45	9	10	26	45	69	-24	37