Carlisle United 4-0 Stevenage - League Two - December 12, 2020 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings - Football

Dec 12, 2020 at 3pm UK at Brunton Park

Carlisle

4 - 0

Stevenage

Anderton (10'), Kayode (20'), Alessandra (34'), Riley (73')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Vincelot (43'), Prosser (44')
Prosser (74')

Coverage of the League Two clash between Carlisle United and Stevenage.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 45.1%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 28.12% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (8.48%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 0-1 (9.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Carlisle United would win this match.

Result
Carlisle United	Draw	Stevenage
45.1%	26.79%	28.12%

Both teams to score 48.98%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.37%

55.63%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.21%

76.79%

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.42%

24.58%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.93%

59.07%

Stevenage Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.94%

35.06%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.19%

71.81%

Score Analysis

Carlisle United 45.09%

Stevenage 28.12%

Draw 26.78%

Carlisle United	Draw	Stevenage
1-0 @ 12.09% 2-1 @ 8.89% 2-0 @ 8.48% 3-1 @ 4.16% 3-0 @ 3.97% 3-2 @ 2.18% 4-1 @ 1.46% 4-0 @ 1.39% Other @ 2.47% Total : 45.09%	1-1 @ 12.67% 0-0 @ 8.62% 2-2 @ 4.66% Other @ 0.84% Total : 26.78%	0-1 @ 9.03% 1-2 @ 6.64% 0-2 @ 4.73% 1-3 @ 2.32% 0-3 @ 1.65% 2-3 @ 1.63% Other @ 2.11% Total : 28.12%

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League Two Table

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
1	Leyton Orient	36	21	10	5	48	24	24	73
2	Stevenage	36	19	10	7	50	31	19	67
3	Northampton Town Northampton	37	18	12	7	50	33	17	66
4	Carlisle United Carlisle	36	18	11	7	58	35	23	65
5	Stockport County Stockport	37	17	9	11	50	32	18	60
6	Bradford City Bradford	36	16	12	8	45	32	13	60
7	Salford City	37	17	8	12	57	42	15	59
8	Mansfield Town Mansfield	35	16	8	11	55	45	10	56
9	Sutton United Sutton	37	15	10	12	40	40	0	55
10	Barrow Barrow	37	15	7	15	38	42	-4	52
11	Swindon Town Swindon	36	13	12	11	49	42	7	51
12	Doncaster Rovers Doncaster	36	15	5	16	39	49	-10	50
13	Walsall	36	11	15	10	38	32	6	48
14	Tranmere Rovers Tranmere	37	13	9	15	36	38	-2	48
15	Grimsby Town	34	12	9	13	37	41	-4	45
16	Newport County Newport	37	10	13	14	38	43	-5	43
17	AFC Wimbledon	37	10	13	14	38	43	-5	43
18	Crewe Alexandra Crewe	36	9	15	12	33	45	-12	42
19	Harrogate Town Harrogate	37	9	11	17	42	54	-12	38
20	Gillingham	36	9	11	16	23	39	-16	38
21	Colchester United Colchester	37	9	9	19	33	45	-12	36
22	Crawley Town Crawley	35	8	8	19	38	58	-20	32
23	Hartlepool United Hartlepool	37	6	13	18	40	66	-26	31
24	Rochdale	37	6	8	23	33	57	-24	26