Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 45.61%. A win for Bradford City had a probability of 28.89% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.18%) and 0-2 (7.97%). The likeliest Bradford City win was 1-0 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swindon Town would win this match.
