Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 41.72%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 31.23% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (7.66%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 0-1 (9.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Swindon Town in this match.
