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League One | Gameweek 25
Dec 30, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Stadium of Light
SW
Sunderland
5 - 0
Sheff Weds
Stewart (12', 36', 58'), Doyle (40'), Mbunga-Kimpioka (75')
Neill (24'), Embleton (67')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Bannan (67')

We said: Sunderland 1-1 Sheffield Wednesday

With both teams harbouring promotion ambitions and proving hard to beat in recent weeks, this should be a fascinating encounter. It will be a tightly-contested affair and we cannot separate them, so predict a draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 46.4%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Sheffield Wednesday had a probability of 26.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.09%) and 2-1 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.75%), while for a Sheffield Wednesday win it was 0-1 (9.22%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.

Result
SunderlandDrawSheffield Wednesday
46.4%27.22%26.37%
Both teams to score 46.56%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.84%58.15%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.19%78.81%
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.93%25.06%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.25%59.74%
Sheffield Wednesday Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.13%37.87%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.36%74.64%
Score Analysis
    Sunderland 46.4%
    Sheffield Wednesday 26.37%
    Draw 27.22%
SunderlandDrawSheffield Wednesday
1-0 @ 13.13%
2-0 @ 9.09%
2-1 @ 8.82%
3-0 @ 4.19%
3-1 @ 4.07%
3-2 @ 1.98%
4-0 @ 1.45%
4-1 @ 1.41%
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 46.4%
1-1 @ 12.75%
0-0 @ 9.49%
2-2 @ 4.28%
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 27.22%
0-1 @ 9.22%
1-2 @ 6.19%
0-2 @ 4.48%
1-3 @ 2%
0-3 @ 1.45%
2-3 @ 1.39%
Other @ 1.65%
Total : 26.37%

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Premier League Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Portsmouth9540156919
2Oxford UnitedOxford Utd8602157818
3Stevenage9531146818
4Port Vale95221114-317
5Barnsley95132011916
6Exeter CityExeter9513107316
7Bolton WanderersBolton84221410414
8Peterborough UnitedPeterborough94231311214
9Derby CountyDerby8413149513
10Cambridge UnitedCambridge8413107313
11Wycombe WanderersWycombe8413912-313
12Lincoln CityLincoln8332129312
13Bristol Rovers8332129312
14Blackpool833287112
15Leyton Orient9324813-511
16Charlton AthleticCharlton83141111010
17Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury830549-59
18Northampton TownNorthampton821569-37
19Carlisle UnitedCarlisle9144711-47
20Burton Albion9135614-86
21Wigan AthleticWigan8413131215
22Reading8305710-35
23Fleetwood TownFleetwood8026414-102
24Cheltenham TownCheltenham9018015-151
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