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Saturday, January 13
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League One | Gameweek 23
Dec 18, 2021 at 3pm UK
Portman Road
S
Ipswich
1 - 1
Sunderland
Norwood (45+1')
Burns (68')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Broadhead (50')
Winchester (52'), Flanagan (60'), Stewart (62')

We said: Ipswich Town 1-2 Sunderland

On Saturday, two of the biggest clubs in League One face off, and in recent times Sunderland have had the success after winning the last four fixtures between the sides, and we think the visitors will collect another victory at the weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 37.1%. A win for Ipswich Town had a probability of 35.85% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.09%) and 0-2 (6.56%). The likeliest Ipswich Town win was 1-0 (10.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.

Result
Ipswich TownDrawSunderland
35.85%27.05%37.1%
Both teams to score 50.75%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.42%54.57%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.08%75.92%
Ipswich Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.86%29.13%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.93%65.06%
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.61%28.39%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.87%64.13%
Score Analysis
    Ipswich Town 35.84%
    Sunderland 37.09%
    Draw 27.05%
Ipswich TownDrawSunderland
1-0 @ 10.19%
2-1 @ 7.92%
2-0 @ 6.29%
3-1 @ 3.26%
3-0 @ 2.59%
3-2 @ 2.05%
4-1 @ 1%
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 35.84%
1-1 @ 12.84%
0-0 @ 8.27%
2-2 @ 4.99%
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 27.05%
0-1 @ 10.41%
1-2 @ 8.09%
0-2 @ 6.56%
1-3 @ 3.4%
0-3 @ 2.75%
2-3 @ 2.09%
1-4 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 37.09%

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Premier League Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Portsmouth27158442251753
2Peterborough UnitedPeterborough26157452282452
3Bolton WanderersBolton24163545242151
4Derby CountyDerby25154647242349
5Oxford UnitedOxford Utd26154745301549
6Barnsley25137548291946
7Stevenage26137638251346
8Blackpool27126944321242
9Northampton TownNorthampton26114113234-237
10Leyton Orient269892831-335
11Bristol Rovers259793535034
12Lincoln CityLincoln2789103030033
13Port Vale2687112838-1031
14Charlton AthleticCharlton2679104039130
15Wycombe WanderersWycombe2679103035-530
16Cambridge UnitedCambridge2586112333-1030
17Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2793151737-2030
18Wigan AthleticWigan26106103631528
19Burton Albion2677122135-1428
20Exeter CityExeter2675141839-2126
21Reading2677123441-724
22Cheltenham TownCheltenham2565141934-1523
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2748152241-1920
24Fleetwood TownFleetwood2646162347-2418
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