SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 47.21%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 27.53% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.32%) and 0-2 (8.3%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Shrewsbury Town | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
27.53% ( -2.59) | 25.27% ( -0.58) | 47.21% ( 3.17) |
| Both teams to score 53.18% ( 0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.03% ( 1.03) | 49.97% ( -1.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.04% ( 0.91) | 71.96% ( -0.91) |
| Shrewsbury Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.48% ( -1.39) | 32.52% ( 1.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.95% ( -1.6) | 69.05% ( 1.59) |
| Cheltenham Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.82% ( 1.88) | 21.18% ( -1.88) |
