SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 49.24%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 24.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.49%) and 2-1 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.35%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 0-1 (8.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lincoln City in this match.
| Result | ||
| Lincoln City | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
49.24% ( -0.04) | 26.16% ( 0.02) | 24.61% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 48.05% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.52% ( -0.04) | 55.48% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.33% ( -0.03) | 76.67% ( 0.03) |
| Lincoln City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.42% ( -0.03) | 22.58% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.82% ( -0.05) | 56.18% ( 0.05) |
| Shrewsbury Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.06% ( 0.01) | 37.94% ( -0) |
