Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 45.13%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 29.4% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.15%) and 0-2 (7.82%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-0 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Morecambe | Draw | Lincoln City |
29.4% ( 0) | 25.47% ( -0) | 45.13% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 53.8% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.25% ( 0.02) | 49.75% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.24% ( 0.02) | 71.75% ( -0.02) |
Morecambe Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.99% ( 0.01) | 31% ( -0.02) |