MX23RW : Saturday, March 4 22:04:58
SM
Liverpool vs. Man Utd: 18 hrs 25 mins
Feb 5, 2022 at 3pm UK at Globe Arena
Morecambe
1 - 1
Bolton
Stockton (73')
Smith (86')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Bakayoko (90+5')
Johnston (45')
Santos (69')

We said: Morecambe 0-2 Bolton Wanderers

Right now, it is difficult to see where Bolton's next defeat is coming from, such is the confidence that Evatt's side are playing with. A Lancashire derby could provide a headache for the Whites, but it is unlikely that Morecambe will have enough to take anything off Bolton this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 45.13%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 29.42% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.16%) and 0-2 (7.81%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-0 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.

Result
MorecambeDrawBolton Wanderers
29.42%25.45%45.13%
Both teams to score 53.87%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.33%49.67%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.32%71.68%
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.05%30.95%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.75%67.25%
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.01%21.99%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.71%55.29%
Score Analysis
    Morecambe 29.42%
    Bolton Wanderers 45.13%
    Draw 25.44%
MorecambeDrawBolton Wanderers
1-0 @ 7.98%
2-1 @ 7.09%
2-0 @ 4.68%
3-1 @ 2.77%
3-2 @ 2.1%
3-0 @ 1.83%
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 29.42%
1-1 @ 12.08%
0-0 @ 6.8%
2-2 @ 5.37%
3-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.44%
0-1 @ 10.3%
1-2 @ 9.16%
0-2 @ 7.81%
1-3 @ 4.62%
0-3 @ 3.94%
2-3 @ 2.71%
1-4 @ 1.75%
0-4 @ 1.49%
2-4 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 45.13%

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1Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds33228360223874
2Plymouth ArgylePlymouth34218561372471
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4Bolton WanderersBolton36189951282363
5Derby CountyDerby341710755312461
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9Peterborough UnitedPeterborough331631453411251
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17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd3599173645-936
18Cheltenham TownCheltenham34106182646-2036
19Burton Albion3398164062-2235
20Accrington StanleyAccrington32810142848-2034
21Morecambe34711163353-2032
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23Cambridge UnitedCambridge3485212655-2929
24Forest Green RoversForest Green3558222766-3923
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