SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 43.43%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 30.01% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 0-1 (9.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Charlton Athletic | Draw | Port Vale |
43.43% ( -0.12) | 26.56% ( 0.06) | 30.01% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 50.71% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.09% ( -0.19) | 53.91% ( 0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.64% ( -0.16) | 75.36% ( 0.16) |
| Charlton Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.37% ( -0.14) | 24.63% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.85% ( -0.2) | 59.15% ( 0.21) |
| Port Vale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.29% ( -0.05) | 32.71% ( 0.05) |
