SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 41.27%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 32.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.7%) and 0-2 (7.22%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 1-0 (8.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Plymouth Argyle would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Port Vale | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
32.47% ( 0.06) | 26.26% ( 0.02) | 41.27% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 52.65% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.12% ( -0.05) | 51.88% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.37% ( -0.04) | 73.63% ( 0.05) |
| Port Vale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.04% ( 0.01) | 29.97% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.93% ( 0.01) | 66.08% ( -0.01) |
| Plymouth Argyle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.18% ( -0.06) | 24.82% ( 0.06) |
