There is no downplaying the importance of this match to both clubs, but we are finding it really hard to separate them here. Gillingham will enter the contest in the better form, but Charlton will be fired up to secure a positive result, and we have had to settle on a low-scoring draw here.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 55.78%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Gillingham had a probability of 19.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.04%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.58%), while for a Gillingham win it was 0-1 (7.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Charlton Athletic in this match.
