SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 49.62%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 25.69% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.52%) and 0-2 (8.68%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bristol Rovers | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
25.69% ( -0.03) | 24.68% ( 0.12) | 49.62% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 53.48% ( -0.42) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.14% ( -0.54) | 48.85% ( 0.54) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.05% ( -0.49) | 70.95% ( 0.49) |
| Bristol Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.61% ( -0.32) | 33.39% ( 0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.98% ( -0.35) | 70.01% ( 0.35) |
| Bolton Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.29% ( -0.25) | 19.71% ( 0.25) |
