SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 53.44%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 21.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.62%) and 2-1 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.94%), while for a Fleetwood Town win it was 0-1 (7.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
53.44% ( 0.03) | 25.42% ( -0.01) | 21.14% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 46.27% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.19% ( 0.02) | 55.81% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.06% ( 0.01) | 76.94% ( -0.01) |
| Bolton Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.09% ( 0.02) | 20.91% ( -0.02) |
