Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shelbourne win with a probability of 41.97%. A win for Derry City had a probability of 30.73% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shelbourne win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (7.82%). The likeliest Derry City win was 0-1 (9.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.
