MX23RW : Sunday, April 23 19:31:54
SM
Sunday, April 23
Dec 11, 2021 at 5.30pm UK at Mestalla
La Liga | Gameweek 17
Valencia
2 - 1
Elche
Guedes (23'), Piccini (86')
Gomez (34'), Wass (48'), Foulquier (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Boye (75')
Morente (41'), Roco (90+2')

We said: Valencia 2-1 Elche

Elche are more than capable of picking up a positive result here, and Valencia have drawn three of their last four league matches, but we fancy Los Che to collect all three points on Saturday, with Bordalas's side moving above Barcelona if they manage to win this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 48.84%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Elche had a probability of 24.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.69%) and 2-1 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.53%), while for a Elche win it was 0-1 (8.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Valencia in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Valencia.

Result
ValenciaDrawElche
48.84%26.78%24.37%
Both teams to score 46.11%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.11%57.89%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.39%78.6%
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.21%23.79%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.05%57.95%
Elche Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.5%39.5%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.81%76.19%
Score Analysis
    Valencia 48.84%
    Elche 24.37%
    Draw 26.78%
ValenciaDrawElche
1-0 @ 13.49%
2-0 @ 9.69%
2-1 @ 9%
3-0 @ 4.64%
3-1 @ 4.31%
3-2 @ 2%
4-0 @ 1.67%
4-1 @ 1.55%
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 48.84%
1-1 @ 12.53%
0-0 @ 9.4%
2-2 @ 4.18%
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 26.78%
0-1 @ 8.73%
1-2 @ 5.82%
0-2 @ 4.05%
1-3 @ 1.8%
2-3 @ 1.29%
0-3 @ 1.26%
Other @ 1.42%
Total : 24.37%

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La Liga Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona3024425494576
2Real Madrid30205563243965
3Atletico MadridAtletico30186647222560
4Real Sociedad30166839291054
5Real BetisBetis30146103933648
6Villarreal291451038281047
7Athletic Bilbao301371042301246
8Osasuna30118112832-441
9Mallorca30117122931-240
10Rayo Vallecano301010103636040
11GironaGirona30108124443138
12Celta Vigo3099123642-636
13Sevilla2998123544-935
14Real ValladolidValladolid30105152648-2235
15CadizCadiz30711122342-1932
16Getafe30710132839-1131
17Almeria3086163652-1630
18Valencia3086163236-430
19Espanyol30610143549-1428
20ElcheElche3027212061-4113
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