SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 41.21%. A win for Las Palmas had a probability of 30.59% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.25%) and 2-0 (7.94%). The likeliest Las Palmas win was 0-1 (10.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sevilla in this match.
| Result | ||
| Sevilla | Draw | Las Palmas |
41.21% ( -0.74) | 28.2% ( -0.22) | 30.59% ( 0.96) |
| Both teams to score 46.2% ( 1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.24% ( 1.06) | 59.76% ( -1.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.94% ( 0.8) | 80.06% ( -0.8) |
| Sevilla Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.48% ( 0.1) | 28.52% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.7% ( 0.12) | 64.3% ( -0.12) |
| Las Palmas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.64% ( 1.31) | 35.37% ( -1.31) |
