There is no downplaying the importance of this match for both sides, as a win could potentially act as a springboard for the rest of the season. Osasuna's home form this season has been disappointing, while Cadiz have been relatively strong on their travels, so we are backing a narrow away success here.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cadiz win with a probability of 39.45%. A win for Osasuna had a probability of 31.2% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cadiz win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.78%) and 1-2 (7.76%). The likeliest Osasuna win was 1-0 (11.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
