SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 35.69%. A win for Mallorca had a probability of 33.77% and a draw had a probability of 30.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.01%) and 1-2 (7%). The likeliest Mallorca win was 1-0 (13.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Mallorca | Draw | Valencia |
33.77% ( -0.19) | 30.54% ( 0.37) | 35.69% ( -0.19) |
| Both teams to score 40.71% ( -0.95) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 33.22% ( -1.12) | 66.78% ( 1.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 14.88% ( -0.77) | 85.11% ( 0.76) |
| Mallorca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.14% ( -0.75) | 36.86% ( 0.75) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 26.35% ( -0.75) | 73.65% ( 0.75) |
| Valencia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.47% ( -0.73) | 35.53% ( 0.73) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 27.7% ( -0.77) | 72.29% ( 0.77) |
| Score Analysis |
| Mallorca | Draw | Valencia |
| 1-0 @ 13.07% ( 0.28) 2-1 @ 6.75% ( -0.13)2-0 @ 6.52% ( 0)3-1 @ 2.25% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 2.17% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.16% ( -0.07)Other @ 1.85% Total : 33.77% | 1-1 @ 13.52% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 13.09% ( 0.53)2-2 @ 3.49% ( -0.14)Other @ 0.43% Total : 30.53% | 0-1 @ 13.55% ( 0.29) 0-2 @ 7.01% ( 0.01)1-2 @ 7% ( -0.13)0-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.1)2-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.09% Total : 35.68% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Barcelona | 38 | 28 | 4 | 6 | 70 | 20 | 50 | 88 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 38 | 24 | 6 | 8 | 75 | 36 | 39 | 78 |
| 3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 38 | 23 | 8 | 7 | 70 | 33 | 37 | 77 |
| 4 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 21 | 8 | 9 | 51 | 35 | 16 | 71 |
| 5 | Villarreal | 38 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 59 | 40 | 19 | 64 |
| 6 | Real BetisBetis | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 46 | 41 | 5 | 60 |
| 7 | Osasuna | 38 | 15 | 8 | 15 | 37 | 42 | -5 | 53 |
| 8 | Athletic Bilbao | 38 | 14 | 9 | 15 | 47 | 43 | 4 | 51 |
| 9 | Mallorca | 38 | 14 | 8 | 16 | 37 | 43 | -6 | 50 |
| 10 | GironaGirona | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 58 | 55 | 3 | 49 |
| 11 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 45 | 53 | -8 | 49 |
| 12 | Sevilla | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 47 | 54 | -7 | 49 |
| 13 | Celta Vigo | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 43 | 53 | -10 | 43 |
| 14 | CadizCadiz | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 30 | 53 | -23 | 42 |
| 15 | Valencia | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 42 |
| 16 | Getafe | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 42 |
| 17 | Almeria | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 49 | 65 | -16 | 41 |
| R | Real ValladolidValladolid | 38 | 11 | 7 | 20 | 33 | 63 | -30 | 40 |
| R | Espanyol | 38 | 8 | 13 | 17 | 52 | 69 | -17 | 37 |
| R | ElcheElche | 38 | 5 | 10 | 23 | 30 | 67 | -37 | 25 |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
