SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 49.35%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Espanyol had a probability of 23.02%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.27%) and 1-2 (8.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.61%), while for a Espanyol win it was 1-0 (9.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Espanyol | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
23.02% ( 0.22) | 27.62% ( 0.17) | 49.35% ( -0.38) |
| Both teams to score 42.67% ( -0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.34% ( -0.37) | 61.66% ( 0.37) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.52% ( -0.27) | 81.48% ( 0.28) |
| Espanyol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.05% ( 0) | 42.94% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 20.76% ( 0) | 79.24% |
| Athletic Bilbao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.78% ( -0.34) | 25.22% ( 0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.04% ( -0.48) | 59.96% ( 0.48) |
| Score Analysis |
| Espanyol | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
| 1-0 @ 9.15% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 5.33% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 3.87% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 1.5% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.09% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.04% Total : 23.02% | 1-1 @ 12.61% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 10.83% ( 0.15)2-2 @ 3.67% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.51% Total : 27.62% | 0-1 @ 14.91% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 10.27% ( -0.07)1-2 @ 8.69% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 4.72% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 3.99% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 1.63% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.37% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.08% Total : 49.34% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Barcelona | 37 | 28 | 4 | 5 | 69 | 18 | 51 | 88 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 37 | 24 | 5 | 8 | 74 | 35 | 39 | 77 |
| 3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 37 | 23 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 31 | 37 | 76 |
| 4 | Real Sociedad | 37 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 49 | 34 | 15 | 68 |
| 5 | Villarreal | 37 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 57 | 38 | 19 | 63 |
| 6 | Real BetisBetis | 37 | 17 | 8 | 12 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 59 |
| 7 | Osasuna | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 50 |
| 8 | Athletic Bilbao | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 46 | 42 | 4 | 50 |
| 9 | GironaGirona | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 57 | 53 | 4 | 49 |
| 10 | Rayo Vallecano | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 45 | 50 | -5 | 49 |
| 11 | Sevilla | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 49 |
| 12 | Mallorca | 37 | 13 | 8 | 16 | 34 | 43 | -9 | 47 |
| 13 | Valencia | 37 | 11 | 8 | 18 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 41 |
| 14 | CadizCadiz | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 29 | 52 | -23 | 41 |
| 15 | Getafe | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 41 |
| 16 | Almeria | 37 | 11 | 7 | 19 | 46 | 62 | -16 | 40 |
| 17 | Celta Vigo | 37 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 40 |
| 18 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 37 | 11 | 6 | 20 | 33 | 63 | -30 | 39 |
| R | Espanyol | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 49 | 66 | -17 | 36 |
| R | ElcheElche | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 29 | 66 | -37 | 24 |
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