Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 43.25%. A win for Elche had a probability of 30.2% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.82%) and 0-2 (7.85%). The likeliest Elche win was 1-0 (9.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
