SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Betis win with a probability of 49.71%. A win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 25.82% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Betis win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 2-0 (8.55%). The likeliest Real Valladolid win was 0-1 (7.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Betis would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Real Betis | Draw | Real Valladolid |
49.71% ( -0.09) | 24.47% ( 0.05) | 25.82% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 54.3% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.17% ( -0.2) | 47.83% ( 0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.99% ( -0.18) | 70.01% ( 0.18) |
| Real Betis Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.73% ( -0.11) | 19.27% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 48.99% ( -0.18) | 51.01% ( 0.18) |
| Real Valladolid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.26% ( -0.08) | 32.74% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.71% ( -0.09) | 69.29% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Betis | Draw | Real Valladolid |
| 1-0 @ 10.38% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.55% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 8.55% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.24% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 4.69% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.93% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.16% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.93% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.2% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.07% Total : 49.7% | 1-1 @ 11.6% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.31% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 5.33% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.47% | 0-1 @ 7.05% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 6.48% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.93% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.41% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.46% ( 0)Other @ 2.51% Total : 25.82% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Barcelona | 37 | 28 | 4 | 5 | 69 | 18 | 51 | 88 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 37 | 24 | 5 | 8 | 74 | 35 | 39 | 77 |
| 3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 37 | 23 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 31 | 37 | 76 |
| 4 | Real Sociedad | 37 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 49 | 34 | 15 | 68 |
| 5 | Villarreal | 37 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 57 | 38 | 19 | 63 |
| 6 | Real BetisBetis | 37 | 17 | 8 | 12 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 59 |
| 7 | Osasuna | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 50 |
| 8 | Athletic Bilbao | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 46 | 42 | 4 | 50 |
| 9 | GironaGirona | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 57 | 53 | 4 | 49 |
| 10 | Rayo Vallecano | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 45 | 50 | -5 | 49 |
| 11 | Sevilla | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 49 |
| 12 | Mallorca | 37 | 13 | 8 | 16 | 34 | 43 | -9 | 47 |
| 13 | Valencia | 37 | 11 | 8 | 18 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 41 |
| 14 | CadizCadiz | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 29 | 52 | -23 | 41 |
| 15 | Getafe | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 41 |
| 16 | Almeria | 37 | 11 | 7 | 19 | 46 | 62 | -16 | 40 |
| 17 | Celta Vigo | 37 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 40 |
| 18 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 37 | 11 | 6 | 20 | 33 | 63 | -30 | 39 |
| R | Espanyol | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 49 | 66 | -17 | 36 |
| R | ElcheElche | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 29 | 66 | -37 | 24 |
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