Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 50.42%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Getafe had a probability of 21.93%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.68%) and 2-1 (8.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.49%), while for a Getafe win it was 0-1 (9.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Atletico Madrid in this match.
