Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 51.17%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 22.13%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.5%) and 2-1 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.35%), while for a Mallorca win it was 0-1 (8.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.
