This is one of those ties could either way, as there is little to choose between the sides. That said, we are backing the home side to narrowly edge out their visitors and reach the semi-finals.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 43.71%. A win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 31.04% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Go Ahead Eagles win was 0-1 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
