De Treffers have already punched significantly above their weight by getting this far, but they will be keen to progress even further. We expect an open and entertaining affair here with the home side just about emerging triumphant in the end.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 55.8%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for De Treffers had a probability of 21.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.85%) and 2-0 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.94%), while for a De Treffers win it was 0-1 (6.08%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that De Graafschap would win this match.
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