Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 50.6%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 21.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.05%) and 2-1 (8.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.45%), while for a Sagan Tosu win it was 0-1 (9.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
