Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 59.31%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Shimizu S-Pulse had a probability of 16.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.36%) and 2-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.15%), while for a Shimizu S-Pulse win it was 0-1 (6.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.
