SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 50.15%. A draw had a probability of 28.4% and a win for Avispa Fukuoka had a probability of 21.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.89%) and 2-1 (8.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.51%), while for an Avispa Fukuoka win it was 0-1 (9.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nagoya Grampus would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nagoya Grampus | Draw | Avispa Fukuoka |
50.15% ( -0.04) | 28.36% ( 0.03) | 21.49% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 39.39% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
