SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 59.94%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Avispa Fukuoka had a probability of 15.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.01%) and 2-1 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.06%), while for an Avispa Fukuoka win it was 0-1 (6.79%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sanfrecce Hiroshima would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima | Draw | Avispa Fukuoka |
59.94% ( -0.47) | 24.41% ( 0.36) | 15.65% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 40.22% ( -0.66) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
