Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashiwa Reysol win with a probability of 39.36%. A win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 32.65% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kashiwa Reysol win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.14%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Sagan Tosu win was 0-1 (10.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.
