SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Vissel Kobe | 38 | 26 | 73 |
| 4 | Kashima Antlers | 38 | 26 | 69 |
| 5 | Nagoya Grampus | 38 | 14 | 66 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Consadole Sapporo | 37 | -1 | 51 |
| 11 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 38 | 2 | 49 |
| 12 | Cerezo Osaka | 38 | -4 | 48 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashima Antlers win with a probability of 45.14%. A win for Sanfrecce Hiroshima had a probability of 28.33% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kashima Antlers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (8.37%). The likeliest Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 0-1 (8.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Kashima Antlers | Draw | Sanfrecce Hiroshima |
45.14% ( 0.13) | 26.53% ( -0.05) | 28.33% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 49.88% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
