Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashima Antlers win with a probability of 44.05%. A win for FC Tokyo had a probability of 29.67% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kashima Antlers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.94%) and 0-2 (7.95%). The likeliest FC Tokyo win was 1-0 (8.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kashima Antlers would win this match.
