SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Thailand win with a probability of 44.9%. A win for Bahrain had a probability of 28.3% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Thailand win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (8.43%). The likeliest Bahrain win was 0-1 (9.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Thailand | Draw | Bahrain |
44.9% ( 0.02) | 26.79% ( -0.02) | 28.3% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 49.09% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.45% ( 0.07) | 55.54% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.28% ( 0.05) | 76.71% ( -0.06) |
| Thailand Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.36% ( 0.04) | 24.63% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.85% ( 0.06) | 59.14% ( -0.06) |
| Bahrain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.14% ( 0.03) | 34.86% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.4% ( 0.04) | 71.59% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Thailand | Draw | Bahrain |
| 1-0 @ 12.03% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.88% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 8.43% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.15% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.94% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.19% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.45% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.38% ( 0)Other @ 2.46% Total : 44.9% | 1-1 @ 12.67% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.59% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.68% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.84% Total : 26.78% | 0-1 @ 9.05% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.68% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.77% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.35% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.68% 2-3 @ 1.64% ( 0)Other @ 2.14% Total : 28.3% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Arsenal | 28 | 22 | 3 | 3 | 66 | 26 | 40 | 69 |
| 2 | Manchester CityMan City | 27 | 19 | 4 | 4 | 67 | 25 | 42 | 61 |
| 3 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 26 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 41 | 35 | 6 | 50 |
| 4 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 28 | 15 | 4 | 9 | 52 | 40 | 12 | 49 |
| 5 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 26 | 12 | 11 | 3 | 39 | 19 | 20 | 47 |
| 6 | Liverpool | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 47 | 29 | 18 | 42 |
| 7 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 46 | 31 | 15 | 42 |
| 8 | Brentford | 27 | 10 | 12 | 5 | 43 | 34 | 9 | 42 |
| 9 | Fulham | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 38 | 37 | 1 | 39 |
| 10 | Chelsea | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 38 |
| 11 | Aston Villa | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 35 | 39 | -4 | 38 |
| 12 | Crystal Palace | 28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 22 | 38 | -16 | 27 |
| 13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 22 | 41 | -19 | 27 |
| 14 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 35 | 44 | -9 | 26 |
| 15 | Everton | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 22 | 40 | -18 | 26 |
| 16 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 22 | 49 | -27 | 26 |
| 17 | Leicester CityLeicester | 27 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 38 | 47 | -9 | 25 |
| 18 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 24 | 34 | -10 | 24 |
| 19 | Bournemouth | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 25 | 54 | -29 | 24 |
| 20 | Southampton | 28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 23 | 46 | -23 | 23 |
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