SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Thailand win with a probability of 49.75%. A win for Turkmenistan had a probability of 25.67% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Thailand win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (8.64%). The likeliest Turkmenistan win was 0-1 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Thailand in this match.
| Result | ||
| Thailand | Draw | Turkmenistan |
49.75% ( 0) | 24.57% ( -0.01) | 25.67% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 53.82% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.6% ( 0.04) | 48.39% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.47% ( 0.03) | 70.53% ( -0.03) |
| Thailand Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.52% ( 0.01) | 19.48% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 48.65% ( 0.02) | 51.34% ( -0.02) |
| Turkmenistan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.84% ( 0.02) | 33.16% ( -0.02) |
