SM
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Colombia | 3 | 4 | 9 |
| 2 | Argentina | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Paraguay | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Qatar | 3 | -3 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qatar win with a probability of 47.96%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Jamaica had a probability of 25.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Qatar win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.44%) and 2-1 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.6%), while for a Jamaica win it was 0-1 (8.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Qatar | Draw | Jamaica |
47.96% ( -1.03) | 26.89% ( 0.5) | 25.16% ( 0.54) |
| Both teams to score 46.52% ( -0.88) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.28% ( -1.39) | 57.72% ( 1.4) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.53% ( -1.11) | 78.47% ( 1.12) |
| Qatar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.88% ( -1.08) | 24.13% ( 1.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.57% ( -1.56) | 58.43% ( 1.56) |
| Jamaica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.31% ( -0.29) | 38.69% ( 0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 24.57% ( -0.27) | 75.43% ( 0.28) |
| Score Analysis |
| Qatar | Draw | Jamaica |
| 1-0 @ 13.27% ( 0.29) 2-0 @ 9.44% ( -0.09)2-1 @ 8.96% ( -0.16)3-0 @ 4.47% ( -0.19)3-1 @ 4.25% ( -0.22)3-2 @ 2.02% ( -0.12)4-0 @ 1.59% ( -0.12)4-1 @ 1.51% ( -0.13)Other @ 2.46% Total : 47.95% | 1-1 @ 12.6% ( 0.17) 0-0 @ 9.34% ( 0.49)2-2 @ 4.25% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.7% Total : 26.88% | 0-1 @ 8.87% ( 0.39) 1-2 @ 5.98% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 4.21% ( 0.15)1-3 @ 1.89% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.04)Other @ 1.53% Total : 25.16% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Manchester CityMan City | 38 | 28 | 5 | 5 | 94 | 33 | 61 | 89 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 38 | 26 | 6 | 6 | 88 | 43 | 45 | 84 |
| 3 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 38 | 23 | 6 | 9 | 58 | 43 | 15 | 75 |
| 4 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 68 | 33 | 35 | 71 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 75 | 47 | 28 | 67 |
| 6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 38 | 18 | 8 | 12 | 72 | 53 | 19 | 62 |
| 7 | Aston Villa | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 51 | 46 | 5 | 61 |
| 8 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 70 | 63 | 7 | 60 |
| 9 | Brentford | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 58 | 46 | 12 | 59 |
| 10 | Fulham | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 55 | 53 | 2 | 52 |
| 11 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 40 | 49 | -9 | 45 |
| 12 | Chelsea | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 38 | 47 | -9 | 44 |
| 13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 31 | 58 | -27 | 41 |
| 14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 38 | 11 | 7 | 20 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 40 |
| 15 | Bournemouth | 38 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 37 | 71 | -34 | 39 |
| 16 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 68 | -30 | 38 |
| 17 | Everton | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 34 | 57 | -23 | 36 |
| R | Leicester CityLeicester | 38 | 9 | 7 | 22 | 51 | 68 | -17 | 34 |
| R | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 38 | 7 | 10 | 21 | 48 | 78 | -30 | 31 |
| R | Southampton | 38 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 36 | 73 | -37 | 25 |
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