Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Athens win with a probability of 47.39%. A win for Aris Thessaloniki had a probability of 26.51% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an AEK Athens win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (8.84%). The likeliest Aris Thessaloniki win was 0-1 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
