SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 50.93%. A win for Red Star Belgrade had a probability of 27.28% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.69%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest Red Star Belgrade win was 1-2 (6.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Fenerbahce | Draw | Red Star Belgrade |
50.93% ( -0.03) | 21.77% ( 0.01) | 27.28% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 65.1% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.8% ( -0.05) | 34.19% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.91% ( -0.05) | 56.08% ( 0.05) |
| Fenerbahce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.21% ( -0.03) | 13.78% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 58.9% ( -0.05) | 41.09% ( 0.04) |
| Red Star Belgrade Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.51% ( -0.02) | 24.49% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.05% ( -0.02) | 58.94% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fenerbahce | Draw | Red Star Belgrade |
| 2-1 @ 9.33% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.69% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.63% ( 0)3-1 @ 6.16% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.38% ( -0)3-2 @ 4.33% ( -0)4-1 @ 3.05% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.17% ( -0)4-2 @ 2.15% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.21% ( -0)4-3 @ 1.01% ( -0)Other @ 3.84% Total : 50.93% | 1-1 @ 9.41% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.56% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.37% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 2.03% ( -0)Other @ 0.4% Total : 21.77% | 1-2 @ 6.62% ( 0) 0-1 @ 4.75% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.34% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.11% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.08% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.57% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.09% 2-4 @ 1.08% ( -0)Other @ 2.65% Total : 27.29% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Manchester CityMan City | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 8 | 20 | 27 |
| 2 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 26 |
| 3 | Liverpool | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 10 | 14 | 24 |
| 4 | Arsenal | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 24 |
| 5 | Aston Villa | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 22 |
| 6 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 11 | 16 | 20 |
| 7 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 18 |
| 8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 11 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 18 |
| 9 | Brentford | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 16 |
| 10 | Chelsea | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 15 |
| 11 | Crystal Palace | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 15 |
| 12 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 14 |
| 13 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 13 |
| 14 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 12 |
| 15 | Fulham | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 12 |
| 16 | Everton | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 11 |
| 17 | Luton TownLuton | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 6 |
| 18 | Bournemouth | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 27 | -18 | 6 |
| 19 | Burnley | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 27 | -19 | 4 |
| 20 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 30 | -21 | 4 |
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