SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 48.48%. A win for Fenerbahce had a probability of 27.29% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.49%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Fenerbahce win was 0-1 (6.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Galatasaray would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Galatasaray | Draw | Fenerbahce |
48.48% ( 2.09) | 24.23% ( -0.31) | 27.29% ( -1.77) |
| Both teams to score 56.35% ( -0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.28% ( 0.24) | 45.71% ( -0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.96% ( 0.23) | 68.03% ( -0.23) |
| Galatasaray Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.05% ( 0.96) | 18.95% ( -0.96) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 49.54% ( 1.57) | 50.46% ( -1.57) |
| Fenerbahce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.53% ( -1.16) | 30.47% ( 1.17) |
