Slough Town 1-1 Grimsby Town - FA Cup First Round - Football

While Grimsby are lacking any real confidence in League Two and may be rocked by the departure of their popular former manager, the switch to Pearson and Davies could provide the fresh start required, and after last season's run, an FA Cup fixture could be the start of their turnaround. The Mariners have the quality to put their sixth-tier hosts to the sword and will be keen to start their new era with a victory in dominant fashion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 62.91%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Slough Town had a probability of 17.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.15%) and 0-1 (8.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.94%), while for a Slough Town win it was 2-1 (4.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.

Result
Slough Town	Draw	Grimsby Town
17.47%	19.62%	62.91%

Both teams to score 58.6%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.59%

36.41%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.46%

58.54%

Slough Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.89%

34.11%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.2%

70.8%

Grimsby Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.94%

11.06%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.58%

35.42%

Score Analysis

Slough Town 17.47%

Grimsby Town 62.91%

Draw 19.62%

Slough Town	Draw	Grimsby Town
2-1 @ 4.81% 1-0 @ 4.06% 2-0 @ 2.18% 3-2 @ 1.9% 3-1 @ 1.72% Other @ 2.8% Total : 17.47%	1-1 @ 8.94% 2-2 @ 5.29% 0-0 @ 3.77% 3-3 @ 1.39% Other @ 0.23% Total : 19.62%	1-2 @ 9.84% 0-2 @ 9.15% 0-1 @ 8.31% 1-3 @ 7.22% 0-3 @ 6.71% 1-4 @ 3.97% 2-3 @ 3.88% 0-4 @ 3.69% 2-4 @ 2.14% 1-5 @ 1.75% 0-5 @ 1.63% 2-5 @ 0.94% Other @ 3.69% Total : 62.91%