Marine AFC 1-5 Harrogate Town - FA Cup First Round - Football

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 66.61%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Marine AFC had a probability of 14.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.79%) and 0-1 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.63%), while for a Marine AFC win it was 2-1 (4.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Harrogate Town would win this match.

Result
Marine AFC	Draw	Harrogate Town
14.76%	18.63%	66.61%

Both teams to score 55.73%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.87%

37.14%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.67%

59.34%

Marine AFC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.15%

37.85%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.38%

74.63%

Harrogate Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.67%

10.33%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.22%

33.79%

Score Analysis

Marine AFC 14.76%

Harrogate Town 66.6%

Draw 18.63%

Marine AFC	Draw	Harrogate Town
2-1 @ 4.19% 1-0 @ 3.8% 2-0 @ 1.85% 3-2 @ 1.54% 3-1 @ 1.36% Other @ 2.03% Total : 14.76%	1-1 @ 8.63% 2-2 @ 4.75% 0-0 @ 3.91% 3-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 0.18% Total : 18.63%	0-2 @ 10.07% 1-2 @ 9.79% 0-1 @ 8.88% 0-3 @ 7.62% 1-3 @ 7.41% 0-4 @ 4.33% 1-4 @ 4.2% 2-3 @ 3.6% 2-4 @ 2.04% 0-5 @ 1.96% 1-5 @ 1.91% 2-5 @ 0.93% Other @ 3.87% Total : 66.6%