SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dagenham & Redbridge win with a probability of 52%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Gillingham had a probability of 23.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dagenham & Redbridge win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.43%), while for a Gillingham win it was 0-1 (6.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Dagenham & Redbridge | Draw | Gillingham |
52% ( 0.69) | 24.08% ( 0.07) | 23.91% ( -0.75) |
| Both teams to score 53.55% ( -1.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.12% ( -0.98) | 47.88% ( 0.98) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.94% ( -0.91) | 70.06% ( 0.91) |
| Dagenham & Redbridge Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.6% ( -0.11) | 18.39% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 50.46% ( -0.18) | 49.53% ( 0.19) |
| Gillingham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.62% ( -1.18) | 34.37% ( 1.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.92% ( -1.28) | 71.08% ( 1.28) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dagenham & Redbridge | Draw | Gillingham |
| 1-0 @ 10.7% ( 0.39) 2-1 @ 9.68% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 9.06% ( 0.3)3-1 @ 5.46% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 5.12% ( 0.15)3-2 @ 2.92% ( -0.1)4-1 @ 2.31% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.17% ( 0.06)4-2 @ 1.24% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.35% Total : 51.99% | 1-1 @ 11.43% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 6.32% ( 0.25)2-2 @ 5.17% ( -0.16)3-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.08% | 0-1 @ 6.75% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 6.1% ( -0.17)0-2 @ 3.61% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.13)2-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.12)0-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.16% Total : 23.91% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Arsenal | 32 | 23 | 6 | 3 | 77 | 34 | 43 | 75 |
| 2 | Manchester CityMan City | 30 | 22 | 4 | 4 | 78 | 28 | 50 | 70 |
| 3 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 31 | 16 | 11 | 4 | 54 | 25 | 29 | 59 |
| 4 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 30 | 18 | 5 | 7 | 46 | 37 | 9 | 59 |
| 5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 32 | 16 | 5 | 11 | 58 | 51 | 7 | 53 |
| 6 | Aston Villa | 32 | 15 | 6 | 11 | 45 | 41 | 4 | 51 |
| 7 | Liverpool | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 59 | 38 | 21 | 50 |
| 8 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 54 | 37 | 17 | 49 |
| 9 | Fulham | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 44 | 42 | 2 | 45 |
| 10 | Brentford | 32 | 10 | 14 | 8 | 48 | 43 | 5 | 44 |
| 11 | Chelsea | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 30 | 33 | -3 | 39 |
| 12 | Crystal Palace | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 31 | 40 | -9 | 37 |
| 13 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 33 | 41 | -8 | 34 |
| 14 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 32 | 9 | 7 | 16 | 27 | 44 | -17 | 34 |
| 15 | Bournemouth | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 31 | 63 | -32 | 33 |
| 16 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 32 | 7 | 8 | 17 | 41 | 62 | -21 | 29 |
| 17 | Leicester CityLeicester | 32 | 8 | 4 | 20 | 43 | 56 | -13 | 28 |
| 18 | Everton | 32 | 6 | 10 | 16 | 24 | 46 | -22 | 28 |
| 19 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 32 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 26 | 59 | -33 | 27 |
| 20 | Southampton | 32 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 27 | 56 | -29 | 24 |
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