SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slavia Prague win with a probability of 45.28%. A win for Sheriff Tiraspol had a probability of 28.67% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Slavia Prague win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (8.18%). The likeliest Sheriff Tiraspol win was 0-1 (8.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Slavia Prague would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Slavia Prague | Draw | Sheriff Tiraspol |
45.28% ( -8.69) | 26.05% ( 2.34) | 28.67% ( 6.35) |
| Both teams to score 51.52% ( -1.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.48% ( -4.56) | 52.51% ( 4.56) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.82% ( -4.05) | 74.18% ( 4.05) |
| Slavia Prague Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.87% ( -5.45) | 23.13% ( 5.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.01% ( -8.68) | 56.99% ( 8.68) |
| Sheriff Tiraspol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.01% ( 2.89) | 32.98% ( -2.9) |
