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Europa League | Playoffs | 2nd Leg
Aug 31, 2023 at 6pm UK
Arena Lublin
SP
Luhansk
2 - 1
Slavia Prague
Alefirenko (32'), Antyukh (41')
Snurnitsyn (14')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Jurasek (83')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Minai 1-1 Luhansk
Sunday, August 27 at 11am in Ukrainian Premier League

We said: Zorya Luhansk 1-3 Slavia Prague (Slavia Prague to win 5-1 on aggregate)

Given that Slavia Prague remain unbeaten this season - having picked up seven wins and two draws in all competitions - we expect the Czech side to secure another straightforward victory over Zorya Luhansk. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slavia Prague win with a probability of 50.38%. A win for Zorya Luhansk had a probability of 25.39% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Slavia Prague win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.6%) and 0-2 (8.6%). The likeliest Zorya Luhansk win was 1-0 (6.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result
Zorya LuhanskDrawSlavia Prague
25.39% (0.036999999999999 0.04) 24.23% (0.0070000000000014 0.01) 50.38% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Both teams to score 54.66% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.84% (0.00099999999999767 0)47.16% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.6%69.39% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Zorya Luhansk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.27% (0.031999999999996 0.03)32.73% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.72% (0.033999999999999 0.03)69.28% (-0.030999999999992 -0.03)
Slavia Prague Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.25% (-0.015999999999991 -0.02)18.75% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.87% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)50.13% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Zorya Luhansk 25.39%
    Slavia Prague 50.38%
    Draw 24.22%
Zorya LuhanskDrawSlavia Prague
1-0 @ 6.85% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
2-1 @ 6.41% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 3.83% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.39% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 2% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 1.43% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 25.39%
1-1 @ 11.47%
0-0 @ 6.14%
2-2 @ 5.36% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.11% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.22%
0-1 @ 10.27%
1-2 @ 9.6% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 8.6% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-3 @ 5.36% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 4.8% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.99%
1-4 @ 2.24% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 2.01% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-4 @ 1.25%
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 50.38%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Minai 1-1 Luhansk
Sunday, August 27 at 11am in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Slavia Prague 2-0 Luhansk
Thursday, August 24 at 6pm in Europa League
Last Game: Luhansk 0-0 Oleksandriya
Friday, August 18 at 5pm in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Vorskla 1-2 Luhansk
Sunday, August 13 at 1pm in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Luhansk 1-3 Kryvbas Kryvyi
Sunday, August 6 at 3pm in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Rukh Lviv 2-1 Luhansk
Saturday, July 29 at 1pm in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Jablonec 1-1 Slavia Prague
Sunday, August 27 at 2pm in Czech Liga
Last Game: Slavia Prague 2-0 Luhansk
Thursday, August 24 at 6pm in Europa League
Last Game: Slavia Prague 1-0 Banik Ostrava
Sunday, August 20 at 5pm in Czech Liga
Last Game: Dnipro-1 1-1 Slavia Prague
Thursday, August 17 at 7pm in Europa League
Last Game: Mlada Boleslav 0-1 Slavia Prague
Sunday, August 13 at 2pm in Czech Liga
Last Game: Slavia Prague 3-0 Dnipro-1
Thursday, August 10 at 6pm in Europa League
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