Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iskra win with a probability of 40.34%. A win for Lokomotiv Plovdiv had a probability of 31.98% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Iskra win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.32%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Lokomotiv Plovdiv win was 0-1 (10.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.
